“The first round of the June 12 parliamentary elections was summed up with this laconic headline: ‘Mélenchon defeats Macron’.” A workaround that obscures the real tendencies of the French electorate in the two-round majoritarian voting system is assessed by an author’s article published in El Pais.

In the second round, this Sunday, June 19, “many Melenchonist candidates who come out first in their constituency will not get enough support to be elected”, continues the Spanish newspaper. If the roughly 26% received by Nupes was taken as historical, the numbers actually show “reducing the electoral space of the left” in favor of the center and an increase in votes for the extreme right, he analyzes.

Pool of Social Democratic voters

Previously, the centrist parties drew a reserve of votes from the conservatives. Now they are also appealing to that part of the left that does not recognize itself in the alliance of Jean-Luc Mélenchon, notes Elpais.

“Something has changed: Social Democrat voters deny their political allegiance and refuse to vote for the left, which they consider radical and illegitimate, despite Mélenchon’s best efforts. […] turn towards social democracy and abandon the real program of rupture.

However, this strengthening of the center is accompanied by its counterpart: an increase in votes for the extreme right. In the first round of legislative elections, the various formations of this political trend won approximately 23% of the vote, almost one voter in four, an unprecedented result in a French legislative election.

However, the far right will have few representatives in the National Assembly because the current electoral system favors center parties in the second round, according to the alliance mechanic.

“[Cela] further exacerbates the illegitimacy of the two-round majoritarian system, the reform of which, sooner or later, will not get rid of this moral dilemma: should fair political representation be guaranteed to all political parties, including those who seek to torpedo the system? ”